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Do You Still Believe This About the Markets?
Hey friend, The Producers Price Index report came in hotter than expected at 3.0% year-over-year compared to the expected 2.6%. Weekly jobless claims also unexpectedly rose by 17,000 to 242,000. Let’s...
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Don’t Miss This Hidden Market Divergence
Hey, Ross here: If you just looked at the major indexes, you’d think everything is fine and dandy. But as I said – there’s a hidden pullback happening… Which you can see by looking at the chart below....
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Even Short-Term Trends Can Do This
Hey friend, The pullback Head Trader Ross Givens alerted readers to in his newsletter appears to be starting in the major indexes. Next week will be all about the Fed. Let’s see how the markets have...
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The Hidden Pullback & the Narrow Bull Market
Hey, Ross here: Welcome to a new trading week. Last week, the S&P 500 closed flat. But the “hidden” pullback is still happening. Chart of the Day This is the Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP), which...
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What to Do in an “Irrational” Market
Hey friend, The Fed meets tomorrow and releases its decision Wednesday. That will have a huge influence on how the markets move not just for the rest of the month – but even extending into next year....
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What to Expect for “Fed Day”
Hey, Ross here: The Fed delivers its decision today, with Powell giving his market-moving press conference later this afternoon. The consensus on Wall Street is for the Fed to make another 25 basis...
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Have There Been “Too Many” Pullbacks?
Hey, Ross here: If you’re a regular reader of this newsletter, you know I’ve been banging the drum about buying pullbacks ever since this bull market began. So, here’s an interesting question a reader...
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This is How Your Account Goes to Zero
Hey friend, It was an interesting contrast yesterday with the latest Services PMI data outperforming expectations but the Manufacturing PMI data underperforming. This morning’s retail sales data also...
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The Subtle Trap Even Successful Traders Fall Into
Hey friend, Fed Chair Powell is giving his press conference right now. Expect volatility as the market digests his comments. The Daily Direction Note: All indexes closed lower yesterday, with the Dow’s...
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The Most Likely Path Forward
Hey, Ross here: The question on every trader’s minds – what’s the most likely path forward for the market? Let’s take a look. Chart of the Day Source: @jasongoepfert via X This chart shows how the...
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Did the Market Surprise You Yesterday?
Hey, Ross here: In yesterday’s newsletter, I told you that, under Powell, the market has tended to fall significantly on “Fed Days”. That’s exactly what happened – even though the Fed cut rates as...
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The Right Trading Attitude in Troubled Times
Hey friend, The volatility spike came to pass. Let’s see how the index directions have been affected. The Daily Direction Note: All indexes closed lower yesterday in the worst day for the markets since...
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This Time It’s Different?
The latest Core PCE data came in just below consensus, signaling that the Fed may continue focusing on economic growth rather than battling inflation. Markets initially reacted with gains but pulled...
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The Formula for Trading Success in 2025
Chart of the Day This is basically a chart showing how the S&P 500 has performed dating back to 1950. Years where the index rose at least 20% are marked in gold… And as you can see, these 20+%...
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The Right Way to be Greedy When Others are Fearful
The latest Core PCE data came in just below consensus, signaling that the Fed may continue focusing on economic growth rather than battling inflation. Markets initially reacted with gains but pulled...
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Are You Ready for the January Rebound?
Hey, Ross here: Markets have been rough since December. But there are signs positive momentum is returning. Let’s start with a bearish pattern I talked about last week. Chart of the Day Last Thursday,...
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Don’t Get Surprised by This
The latest Core PCE data came in just below consensus, signaling that the Fed may continue focusing on economic growth rather than battling inflation. Markets initially reacted with gains but pulled...
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Don’t Let This Flush You Out
Hey, Ross here: Let’s look at an interesting chart that reveals just how “top heavy” the US stock market has become. Chart of the Day Source: @allstartcharts via X This chart shows the ratio between...
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Why You Shouldn’t Trust Your Instincts in Trading
The latest Core PCE data came in just below consensus, signaling that the Fed may continue focusing on economic growth rather than battling inflation. Markets initially reacted with gains but pulled...
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Is a Market Correction in the Cards?
Hey, Ross here: It was a choppy day in the markets yesterday, with stocks opening strong but ending the day sharply lower. So let’s look at a chart examining whether we have real cause of concern....
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